Introdution of Serbia
Serbia, officially the Republic of Serbia , is a landlocked country
in Southeastern and Central Europe, situated at the crossroads of the
Patagonian Plain and the Balkans. Its capital Belgrade is also the
largest city. The country’s population , estimated at 6.908 million
(2020). Serbia has been traditionally a Christian country since the
Christianize of Serbs by Clement of Oh rid and Saint Nam in the 9th
century. The country covers an area of 77,474 km² (excluding Kosovo),
this is about the size of the Czech Republic, or slightly smaller than
US state of South Carolina.
Covid-19 induced economic crisis
Serbia has experienced four waves of the pandemic. The first case of
COVID-19 was reported on 6 March 2020 and the first death on 20 March.
The virus progressed rapidly in Serbia: 60 days after the first
registered case, there were more than 10 000 – the highest number in the
region – and 38 registered deaths from COVID-19 per million inhabitants,
compared to 13 in Albania, 53 in Bosnia and Herzegovina, 20 in Kosovo
and 137 in North Macedonia. The economy suffered a second wave from
early June to mid-September, a third wave from October to December 2020
with significantly higher incidence rates and a fourth wave from
mid-February to end of April 2021 (Figure 16.1). As of 21 May 2021, the
economy counts an accumulated 900 233 cases (or 103 254 per million
inhabitants) and 8 649 registered deaths (or 992 per million
inhabitants), which is the second-lowest mortality rate in the region
(Figure 16.2). The fatality rate (0.99%) is the lowest compared to other
Western Balkan economies. The official figures might underestimate the
real human cost of the pandemic insofar as positive tests are required
to classify a death as due to COVID-19.
The location of Serbia
Time series analysis-Serbia
The graph indicates that there will be a little increase of corona
patients between 2020 and 2021. However, there will be more corona
patients in 2022 than there were in 2020 and 2021.In the same way, the
graph shows the number of patients who get infected with Corona and
recover and die
Daily Covid-19 cases by type in Serbia
Time series analysis-Countries
The graph indicates that there will be a little increase of corona
patients in the European countries between 2020 and 2021. However,
compared to 2020 and 2021, there will be more corona patients in
2022.The most cases among these nations recorded in a single day
(2022-01-31) are reported from United Kingdom. The quantity is
84731
Daily Covid-19 cases by type in countries
Therefore Slovakia having 1039831 (2020-01-22 to 2022-06-23) total
confirmed cases with a population of 5.459 million people, is worse than
Albania having only 28090 (2020-01-22 to 2022-06-23) confirmed cases for
a population of around 2.838 million. However, Bulgaria seems to be
performing better than its immediate neighbors Hungary , Croatia and
North Macedonia since their rate of increase of confirmed cases are
increasing at a very higher rate in comparison to Bulgaria
Daily Covid-19 recovey cases by type in country
The plot shows that Slonakia has seen the most patients recover,
with a total of about 326181 (2020-01-22 to 2022-06-23). The percentage
of patients who are healed is low in all of the country in the plot,
with the exception of Slovakia.
Daily Covid-19 death cases by type in country
There were recorded 20107 (2020-01-22 to 2022-06-23) fatalities in
Slovakia among 1039831 patients. In Albania, 28090 patients and 335
(2020-01-22 to 2022-06-23) fatalities were reported. Croatia, Hungary,
and North Macedonia all have more fatalities than Bulgaria does.
Discussion and Conclusions
The dataset is loaded by coronavirus dataset given in the package R.
Serbia dataset is obtained by it.It was discovered throughout the data
processing process that there were negative figures for confirmed
instances in various nations. The main reason for this could be the
possibility that some patients may have initially received a COVID-19
positive diagnosis but later received a negative one.These variables are
ignored when plotting the graphs because there are a lot of missing
values and negative values on the European continent.As a result, the
data was pre-processed by labeling the negative values as missing values
before the actual analysis. There are discontinuities in some line
charts because of this.Coronavirus disease2019 is identified in December
2019 in Wuhan, Hubei but It is increased speedily in January to March.
However, it is directly affected to the other countries